Fantasy football rookie watch: Irving running away as top rookie RB

Eric Moody, ESPNNov 24, 2024, 08:30 PM ET
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Tampa Bay’s backfield combination of Rachaad White and rookie Bucky Irving continues to produce, but figuring how which is going to have a bigger game week to week is next to impossible at this point. Both backs carried the ball 12 times in Sunday’s lopsided win over the New York Giants, and third-stringer Sean Tucker even added a 1-yard touchdown in the first quarter.

One thing that is very clear at this point, however, is the talent Irving has both as a rusher and a pass-catcher, a role that appears to only be increasing each week. The Oregon product– rostered in 79% of ESPN leagues but started in only 49.8% this week, finished with an impressive 27.1 fantasy points behind 87 yards and a touchdown on the ground, and six catches for 64 yards through the air.

Fantasy managers who trusted Irving enough to start him were rewarded with his best fantasy performance of the season.

The Buccaneers’ offensive line, ranked ninth in run block win rate, completely overpowered the Giants’ defense in this game, and Irving’s production stands out — this was his seventh game with 10 or more fantasy points and his fifth with 15-plus.

What’s even more enticing is the road ahead; the Bucs have the second-most favorable schedule for running backs the rest of the season, according to Mike Clay’s strength of schedule matrix. With matchups against the Carolina and Las Vegas coming up, Irving is firmly in the RB2 conversation, even while sharing touches with White. He’s taking full advantage of every opportunity.

Other rookie notes to know

Jayden Daniels had his best fantasy performance of the season on Sunday, racking up 30.4 points against the Dallas Cowboys. After dealing with some ups and downs following a rib injury in Week 7, Daniels reminded everyone of his dual-threat potential. He became just the sixth rookie in NFL history to hit 2,000 passing yards and 500 rushing yards in a season, joining Kyler Murray, Josh Allen, Robert Griffin III, Cam Newton and Vince Young. All but Allen went on to win Rookie of the Year.
Caleb Williams was outstanding against the Vikings, posting 26.9 fantasy points — his best outing since Week 6 when he scored 28.6 against the Jaguars. He recorded his first career multi-touchdown game against the blitz and had his most completions on throws of 15+ air yards. He also averaged just 2.42 seconds to throw, tied for the fastest in his career. Looking ahead, he’s a solid QB2 option next week against a Lions defense that’s giving up the sixth-most passing yards per game entering Week 12.
Tyrone Tracy Jr. struggled with just 13 touches and 9.0 fantasy points against a Buccaneers defense that allowed the fifth-most points to running backs entering Week 12. The Giants’ offense, despite a favorable fantasy schedule according to Clay’s SOS matrix, has been too ineffective to capitalize. Tracy led the backfield in snaps, but Devin Singletary and Eric Gray rotated in as well. Even worse, he finished third in routes run — a concern for a running back who is a former receiver.
Xavier Legette caught four of six targets for 56 yards on Sunday against the Chiefs, and has hauled in at least four receptions in three of the last four games. He should be firmly on the flex radar for fantasy managers in deeper leagues. That’s especially true against a Buccaneers defense next week that gives up the sixth-most fantasy points per game to wide receivers (entering Week 12). According to Clay’s strength of schedule matrix, the Panthers have the ninth-most favorable ROS schedule for receivers
Bo Nix scored 19.4 fantasy points against the Raiders on Sunday, becoming just the third Broncos rookie to record three straight games with multiple passing touchdowns. He struggled against the Raiders’ blitz in the first half, but made some key adjustments and was much more productive in the second half. Nix remains a low-end QB1, and with the sixth-best rest-of-season schedule for fantasy quarterbacks, I have a feeling he’s going to be on a lot of playoff teams.
Audric Estime led the Broncos’ backfield in snaps, touches (14) and fantasy points (5.3) against the Chiefs in Week 10. But during the past two games, he’s had just nine touches and 7.0 fantasy points. Javonte Williams has taken over the backfield, handling 12+ touches in each of those games. Estime is now third in the rotation, behind Williams and Jaleel McLaughlin. At this point in the season, he’s not a must-hold.
Devaughn Vele had a season-high nine targets and 80 receiving yards against the Raiders on Sunday, and he’s now posted 10 or more fantasy points in three straight games. Vele’s carving out a solid role behind No. 1 receiver Courtland Sutton. He’s a reliable target for Nix and great find by the Broncos in the seventh round. Vele is on the flex radar for fantasy managers in deeper formats.